Panel Discussion on the Occasion of the Fifth Anniversary of the Berlin Office of IFSH
On 15 October 2024, a high-profile panel discussion on the future of Germany‘s security policy took place at the Dietrich-Bonhoeffer-Haus in Berlin. The central focus of the event was the question of how Germany can redefine its role in the tension between diplomacy, deterrence, and arms control in light of current global threats. Moderated by Anja Dahlmann, head of the Berlin office of IFSH, the panel discussed assessments of the current security situation and the resulting strategic consequences.
National Security Strategy – A Step in the Right Direction
A key topic of the discussion was the National Security Strategy, which was published by the German government just over a year ago. The experts on the panel agreed that it was a step in the right direction, but there is still a need for improvement in its practical implementation. Sarah Brockmeier-Large, head of the Berlin office of the Peace Research Institute Frankfurt (PRIF), emphasized that the paper lacks the necessary resources and structures, which hinders, if not prevents, its sustainable implementation.
Crisis in Arms Control
Dr. Ulrich Kühn, head of the IFSH research area Arms Control and Emerging Technologies, explained the terms arms control and deterrence, and how these seemingly contradictory concepts can be brought together. He highlighted their complementarity while pointing out that arms control remains in a deep crisis. Currently, arms control can primarily help ensure that deterrence does not escalate into “high-risk” deterrence.
Further Aid for Ukraine
Roderich Kiesewetter, member of the German Bundestag and foreign policy expert from the CDU, advocated for a stronger role of deterrence. He argued that in light of the failed arms control agreements and Russia’s lack of interest in negotiations, Germany, along with other European states, must strengthen its military posture. On the question of peace in Ukraine, he stressed that there must not be a “dictated peace.” Germany should continue to contribute to prosperity and freedom in Ukraine, as they are essential pillars of a sustainable, just peace.
The subsequent discussion with the audience showed that diplomacy, deterrence, and arms control, once the cornerstones of German foreign and security policy, must be rebalanced to both strengthen defense capabilities and ensure long-term peace and stability. According to the panel, Germany’s strategic capacity and instruments like the National Security Strategy should therefore be continuously developed to adequately address global threats.
Following the discussion, the approximately 50 guests concluded the evening with refreshments and drinks.