Presentation of the RISK Report in Brussels

Dr. Wolfgang Zellner

The RISK study "Reducing the Risks of Conventional Deterrence. Arms Control in the NATO-Russia Contact Zones" was presented on 16 October 2019 in Brussels by a number of its authors.

Around twenty-five participants from EU institutions, NATO and Brussels-based foundations came to hear the controversial discussion, which focussed on whether the approach to subregional arms control proposed in the risk report is possible without singling out individual states politically, or whether valid arms control agreements with Russia can indeed be reached at all.

The starting point of the RISK Study is the realization that the dominant military risks in Europe are no longer large-scale offensive action on a continental scale, but the “eventuality of cross-border offensive operations in sensitive areas where Russian and NATO armed forces may directly engage with each other. This is particularly acute in the Baltic and Black Sea areas.” The report addresses most dangerous aspects of using arms control elements for containing the risks of potentially escalating crises in Europe.

Wolfgang Zellner et al. 2018, Reducing the Risk of Conventional Deterrence in Europe. Arms Control in the NATO-Russia Contact Zones, Hamburg (OSCE Network of Think Tanks and Academic Institutions). Link: